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Swedish population to top 10 million in 2021

Published: 15 Apr 2010 10:24 GMT+02:00
Updated: 15 Apr 2010 10:24 GMT+02:00

Sweden's population increased by 84,000 people in 2009 and is set to grow by 600,000 over the next ten years, passing the 10 million mark in 2021, according to a new forecast from Statistics Sweden (SCB).

The Swedish population has been boosted by record levels of immigration since 2006 and 2010 is expected to be another record year, with 103,000 immigrants making Sweden their home.

The birthrate remained high despite the economic crisis with the fertility rate for 2010 estimated at 1.97 children per woman, the highest level since 1993. Sweden has long shown a strong correlation between childbearing and the economic cycle as the parental insurance system tracks income.

115,000 children per annum are forecast to be added to the population in the coming few years, up slightly on the 112,000 new citizens arriving in 2009, according to the SCB report.

The trend of a rise in life expectancy is set to continue with women expected to live 3.5 years longer in 2060, to 86.9 years, in comparison with 83.4 in 2010. Men are expected to live slightly more than five years longer in 2060, from 79.5 years in 2010 to 84.7 years then.

Sweden's population passed the nine million mark in 2004 and is expected to top 10 million in 2021.

The number of elderly people (over 65s) is forecast to increase by 362,000 by 2021, the number of those of working age (20-64) by 151,000 and young people (aged 0-19) by slightly more than 96,000.

Peter Vinthagen Simpson (news@thelocal.se)

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Your comments about this article

11:58 April 15, 2010 by LailaC1
Hmmm but is Sweden getting quality migrants? Is this good news really?
12:21 April 15, 2010 by Twiceshy
look at the numbers. sweden will be muslim inside 100 yrs!

yyyyyaaaaayyyyyyyaaaaaaaa boooooooom!
12:56 April 15, 2010 by Audrian
The population report does not give us enough data to calculate dependency ratios: (a) dependency ratio without migration and (b) dependency ratio with migration. Such a calculation could show Sweden would benefit from migration. More generally Sweden might need to encourage migration or increase in birthrate or both if it should sustain its existing level of living conditions.

Re Twiceshy: In 100 years we might all perish, e.g., we might be hit by meteorite.
13:08 April 15, 2010 by cbeynch
You need to report a lot more detail about this. - You report. We decide. Not the other way around. 1) How much of the increase was due to immigration? 2) Breakdown by country of origin. 3) Breakdown by religion. 4) Breakdown by ethnicity. 5)Birth rate by immigrants. 6) Birth rate amongst ethnic Swedes. 7) Fertility rate by religion, protestants, catholics, muslims, buddhists etc. 8) Level of education in immigrant population. 9)Means of support amongst ethnic Swedes, etc, etc. The story above right now is completely meaningless, unless you fill in the gaps. Let us, the populaton, decide how we want things to be. Not corrupt, socialist, government fatcats! Were waiting for more info. Thanks.
13:15 April 15, 2010 by bocale1
@cbeynch, the "corrupt, socialist, government fatcats" are elected by the population, do you remember this?

Or do you think that you represent Swedish people better than anybody else?

well, do you think at all?
14:46 April 15, 2010 by farnoxo
Grow, grow, grow and keep on growing Sweden - I need a bloody pension fund when I retire and for this need I a new generation or workers to fund my retirement! Full steam ahead for unrestrained procreation - basically go at it like rabbits and don't stop.
14:57 April 15, 2010 by soultraveler3
My guess, from just walking around in various small towns and larger sized cities here, would be that a large majority of the population increase is going to come from immigrants, more specifically refugees.

I say that because the usual sight for me when seeing mothers walking around is either 2 swedish/thai moms with 1 baby each in a stroller and maybe 1 more older child following or 2 refugee moms (I'm assuming refugee due to their dress) with 1 baby each in a stroller and 6 to 8 kids trailing behind.

It would be interesting to see this report broken down in more detail like cbeynch above suggested. Personally I'm most interested in education and ability to support themselves. I think that will make the biggest difference in the long run. Religion plays a big part in the lives of most of the refugees coming into sweden but I really do believe that the more educated you are the less likely you are to become a fundamentalist of any religion, as least in most cases.
15:17 April 15, 2010 by Spyronic
This is only because of the immigrants and their high birth rate. Somalians have 4-5 children and now this liberal government wants to give them even more money! Vote Sweden Democrats 2010 and stop mass immigration!
15:41 April 15, 2010 by Xcellent
Funny, i see alot of the comments are racist towards muslims...
16:37 April 15, 2010 by Bensonradar
Does Sweden have a system like Canada and Australia, where only highly-qualifies immigrants are accepted?

My next door neighbour who was married to a Swedish man said the problem was that Sweden accepted virtually ANYONE who wanted to escape the harshness of the mother country. This was because these immigrants were prepared to do the menial jobs that Swedish people did not want.
17:06 April 15, 2010 by Swedesmith
It is very difficult to control the quality of the people added to the population by birth from the existing population. It is, however, relatively easy to control the quality of population growth by immigration. Only let in those whom have job skills and/or education plus the desire to assimilate into the culture. Those who do not have the ability or desire to add to society should not be admitted. For those who feel that that is a racist statement, they should open their eyes to reality.
17:14 April 15, 2010 by wotist
Which type of job would that be these last couple of decades? The same type of menial jobs Swedes go to Norway and Denmark to get because they can't get any type of job at all in Sweden?

Sweden "accept virtually ANYONE who want[ed] to escape the harshness of the mother country" because Swedes are uncomfortable with saying "no". When people without legitimate asylum claims refuse to accept a "no" answer, Swedes in charge are even more uncomfortable with saying "NO!".

According to the Swedish immigration office (invandrarverket) own figures, only 5% of those people that are finally granted asylum in Sweden - most often after years of appeals - meet the criteria for what constitutes a refugee according to the standard set by the UN.

@Xcellent: Funny that you classify dislike of Islam as racism. Do you consider dislike of Christianity to be racism to? How about dislike of Communism? Capitalism?

To be a Muslim is not to be a member of a certain race. Being Muslim doesn't even equal being of a certain ethnic group. I care more about members of my own family than I care about strangers. I also care more about my own ethnic group than I care about other ethnic groups. I'm ethnocentric - I believe that the overwhelming majority of all other human beings in this world are as well.

I don't think that this particular inclination makes me racist though. But I'm sure you do. Someone can be a part of my family without being my blood relative. In the same way, someone can be/come a member of my ethnic group even though they were born into another one.
21:26 April 15, 2010 by BCR
bloody immigrants!

Oh wait a second... I guess I must be one of those damned immigrants too? Although, at least I am paying more than 53% in income taxes to live in this nordic wunderland.

Gotta love skatteverket though; they are totally neutral when it comes to these things, it doesn't matter if you are black, white or something in between... they still take your money.
22:38 April 15, 2010 by Freelife
A good solution is to increase the working population. To increase working population, one needs to increase jobs.

To increase jobs one needs investment and planning capabilities which Sweden has already.

Hence Sweden just needs to increase jobs.
22:42 April 15, 2010 by mehrdad1111
the problems are not the immigrant as a group. the problems are the muslim immigrants all over europe. nowhere they integrated into their host society. not in french, not in GB, germany, skandinavia, spain, italy, austria...

in all this countries they are overrepresentated in crime, getting social walfare and low education. thats a fact also for sweden.

integration problems are normals only problems of the 1st generation when it comes to chinese, vietnamese, russians.....but in the muslim parallel world the 2nd and 3th generation cause more and more problems.

look at malmö with 30% muslim population. do you leftists and so called liberals want sweden to transform into what malmö is today?
00:58 April 16, 2010 by linus_sverige
Please , just try to know the fact that about 85% of those who are supposed to be muslims are not religious and they are just muslims by the name . i.e they do not practice islam . and there is also huge differences between one islamic culture and another . some of them are uncivilized like those from Somalia and one the other hand there are those who came from some other countries who are highly educated and much more civilized than most swedens .
08:04 April 16, 2010 by Elton John
The problem is not the immigration, the problem is the Swedish welfare state. It's a card house that will collapse, sooner or later. Immigrants just speed this process up.

Just take the "allmän pension". It was created (1913) in a time when people died at the age of 60. How many got to enjoy their retirement (age 64)? Today the life expectancy is 80 years, and increasing. This will never hold. Here is a good article:

http://www.fokus.se/2010/04/myten-om-pensionaren/

wotist: "I'm ethnocentric - I believe that the overwhelming majority of all other human beings in this world are as well"

The overwhelming majority of all other human beings in this world are religious fools who believe in fictional creatures. Argumentum ad populum...

Freelife: The socialistic state makes that hard. The problems are spelt payroll tax, LAS and minimum wage. What Sweden needs is a laissez-faire economic planning and less government.
10:27 April 16, 2010 by aussieswede
Things in the land down under are not much better either, our goverment also has forced mass immigration, not to mention the boat that claim to be refugees. The cost of living is increasing more than wages and I agree with most of the above comments about muslims. They dont intergate with the country they are entering. I believe that sweden just like australia needs to slow down immigration so that the immigrants can try to integrate.
11:18 April 16, 2010 by Freelife
@Elton John,

But Sweden has managed to be successful with their present model. Changing entire economic model is a far fetched idea, generally which never becomes reality.

Socialism doesn't prevent from job creation. Yes it is hard. But Sweden has both experience and intelligence deal issues with this setup.

Regarding immigration, in my opinion Sweden must encourage high skilled immigrants like US, hence increasing its quality and quantity of human resource.

However, Sweden is a really developed country. It has highly educated population, good infrastructure, great education and medical systems which are the fruits of their well run social model. Sweden must find a good way within this setup. I think, it is quite possible.
12:16 April 16, 2010 by Britswedeguy
Part of Sweden's past success was its Zero Population Growth - it's a big county with low population and yet it in parts it seems overcrowded!
12:49 April 16, 2010 by flintis
Borg & his budget has rung the death knoll for swedish society.

The immigrants (of ALL religions) from eastern europe & africa etc, have more children, in 50yrs the minority population will be ethnic Scandinaviens.

But keep letting the immigrants & refugees in, it helps keep unemployment high, so we that do work have to pay higher taxes.
13:12 April 16, 2010 by Kronaboy
@Bensonradar

Yes most of the Muslim immigrants are highly educated to degree or equivalent professional level and no the majority of them are not willing to take on menial jobs they are forced to do so.

@Twiceshy

Yes that's right we will take over and what are you going to do about it apart from sitting on your backside yacking like a donkey???
14:27 April 16, 2010 by Rebel
And the top name for boys in 2021 will be Mohammed.
15:45 April 16, 2010 by Elton John
Comment: Freelife: But time is changing. For example, "allmän pension" worked when the life expectancy was 60 years. Reality is catching up on us and the model does not hold any longer (and actually never did, see below). With or without immigration, the people will get older. The hollow dream will shatter. I only see it as a positive thing that the specific day is sooner.

The social model was not the positive part of the Swedish success story, it was the part that kept Sweden from becoming much better. Here's a link on how it really is and was. http://mises.org/daily/2259

It's a really good article and I urge you to read it.
22:08 April 16, 2010 by homestead
"The number of elderly people (over 65s) is forecast to increase by 362,000 by 2021, the number of those of working age (20-64) by 151,000 and young people (aged 0-19) by slightly more than 96,000."

Oh great. So there will be more retired people being supported by proportionately less working people which will probably lead to higher taxes on workers. Well at least when this happens, I'll probably be back in the U.S.

...where we'll be dealing with the same stupid problem. :-(
23:21 April 16, 2010 by Alasdair MacCorquodale
I was staggered to read on ''the Local'' that immigrants make up as many as 1/5th of Swedens population.

On the strength of two weeks hoiday in Sweden almost 30 years ago, I would find it immensely attractive to have been able to have lived in Sweden. You seem to have no idea how quickly you will los what remains of your Swedish culture. It is false to think that all people and all cultures are inherently alike.

Are liberalism ( to which Sweden has dedicated itself ) or any manifestation of socialism, essentially a frm of communism.

We have a problem with liberalism/socialism in my native Britain. Which I hope we will throw off with our current General Election.

I suspect egalitarianism is something drummed into (brainwashed) Swedish children since infancy.

Always, always be the masters of your own destinies.
09:23 April 17, 2010 by Elton John
Alasdair MacCorquodale: Most of the immigrants are from Norway, Denmark and Finland. Damn them for coming in and destroying our culture!

Has Sweden dedicated itself to liberalism? You have seriously got to be kidding. One of the biggest welfare models, worlds highest marginal tax rate and you have the guts to use "liberalism" in the same sentence? Wow, have you ever read about the politics here in Sweden?

Seriously, do you even know what liberalism is? How can liberalism be a form of communism? They are pretty much the opposite!

Sweden is a socialistic country, and NO, socialism does NOT equal liberalism. And again, NO, conservatism (which is pretty much an incoherent mix of socialism and liberalism) will not "help" Sweden.
11:37 April 17, 2010 by Kronaboy
Strange as it may seem the net desire of both Marxism and Neo Liberalism is the eradication of legal constraints, yes one aims for utopia while the other desires the free market???
12:36 April 17, 2010 by Elton John
Liberalism advocates individualism. Marxism advocates collectivism. Liberalism advocates private property. Marxism advocates collective ownership. Liberalism advocates capitalism. Marxism opposes capitalism. These are the fundamental parts of the ideologies, and they differ.
14:51 April 17, 2010 by mehrdad1111
@Elton John:

stop living in a fantay world. just look at what happens in malmö right now. thats the future of sweden, not immigrants from norway and denmark (both countries have also massive problems with islam too).

this future is caused by the same idiots like in germany who let in hunderts of thousends muslims every year and also support their 5-6 child families with our tax money.
16:53 April 17, 2010 by Elton John
mehrdad1111: That's the problem, people are supported with "our" tax money. I don't want to support Muslims with my money. Frankly, my dear, I don't want to support you and your family either with my money, no matter how blond hair you've got or how often you go to church.

That's the problem with you xenophobe socialists. Somehow you tend to believe you, unlike muslims, have some natural right to my money.

By the way, have you seen this? http://sverigesradio.se/sida/artikel.aspx?programid=909&artikel=200193

Damn those Swedes, ay?
17:03 April 17, 2010 by mehrdad1111
"xenophobe socialists"

ehm, i am an iranian ex-muslim and no one from my familiy is getting any social transfer money.

thats the point:

iranian immigrants are like chinese, vietnamese...well integrated and actualy a benefit for their host society. they are totaly unislamic because they know what 30 years of islamic regime did to iran.

now if we had 3.000.000 iranians, russians, polish people, italians, spanish people, chinese, mexicans...in germany instead of 3.000.000 sunnit turks and arabs, the huge integration and financal problems wouldnt exist in germany.

its all about letting only people in who help a country. and turks and arabs are NOT helping any of their host country in europe.
17:34 April 17, 2010 by Freelife
@Elton John

Whatever is our debate, we must now that in majority of the countries politicians are old and old fashioned. Hence I think, progress can be through smaller, understandable and waited steps.

Anyhow, I still believe socialist system is good for all, unlike capitalism which makes only a bunch of people rich and elite and others to be exploited.

Capitalism is just like feudalism,a pseudo-democracy.
18:17 April 17, 2010 by Elton John
mehrdad1111,

"ehm, i am an iranian ex-muslim and no one from my familiy is getting any social transfer money."

So? Are you a socialist or not? The xenophobe issue is quite clear from the rest of your obvious racist rantings (don't even try, I know that there is a conflict among Iranians and Arabs and you seem to belong to one of the more hateful clans).

"iranian immigrants are like chinese, vietnamese...well integrated and actualy a benefit for their host society. they are totaly unislamic because they know what 30 years of islamic regime did to iran. "

Oh, please. According to Brå (search for "Brottslighet bland personer födda i Sverige och i utlandet"): "Andelen som någon gång under perioden varit registrerad för brott var högst bland dem som var födda i Nordafrika och Västasien inklusive Iran och Turkiet." You see "inklusive Iran" in there? Maybe you have a source for the fact that Iranians are as well integrated as East Asians?

"now if we had 3.000.000 iranians, russians, polish people, italians, spanish people, chinese, mexicans...in germany instead of 3.000.000 sunnit turks and arabs, the huge integration and financal problems wouldnt exist in germany."

So the financial problem in Germany comes from Turks and Arabs? Let me guess, the same thing goes for Greece? Therefore Greece and Germany should import Iranians so that the financial crisis goes away? This will save the Euro. Maybe the credit crunch would never happened if only USA had imported more Iranians?

Wow, just wow...
23:26 April 17, 2010 by Kronaboy
read what I have written not what you desire to read.
23:29 April 17, 2010 by Kronaboy
Then stop discriminating against Muslims when they apply for jobs, you racist are pedophiles who blame their victims for the suffering they have them????
01:04 April 18, 2010 by Alasdair MacCorquodale
As a foreigner I recognise that I am not really entitled to comment on Swedish affairs.

However the figure of 1/5th immigrant population is something deeply disturbing. In my Britain, the immigrant populationt is at 1/11th. And that is deeply disturbing. I had the impression that Swedes were intensely patriotic..

I think it is a great mistake to think that within a generation or two the immigrants will have been completely absorbed into your culture and way of life.

Sure many immigrants will be making a contribution to Swedish life, but in the long term it is going to be at the cost of Swedish culture.
10:39 April 18, 2010 by Kronaboy
You mean they way you did in Australia, New Zealand, Canada, USA, India, Africa etc.... Don't worry we have learnt a lesson or two from your head hunting ways.
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