Published: 9 Jan 13 17:46 CET | Print version
Online: http://www.thelocal.se/45524/20130109/
Sweden’s defence minister faced a barrage of criticism on Wednesday after she said it was “enough” for Sweden only to be able to defend itself militarily for a week if it came under attack.
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Following three nights of violence that left cars smouldering in several Stockholm suburbs, The Local travelled to the northwest district of Husby where the disturbances began to see how the riots have affected local residents. READ () »
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Four thieves who used internet dating sites to find victims who they then robbed after drugging them with a concoction of sedatives and psychosis drugs were sentenced to prison on Wednesday by a Swedish court. READ () »
A Swedish man has been left facing death after his doctor went on holiday, leaving a cancer diagnosis stranded in the computer system while the increasingly desperate patient fought for help elsewhere. READ () »
Police arrested eight people on Tuesday night as thirty cars were torched across southern and western Stockholm, in what was the third consecutive night of unrest in the Swedish capital. READ () »
A man long referred to as Sweden's most notorious serial killer after being convicted of eight murders has been cleared of two more of the killings, prosecutors announced on Tuesday. READ () »
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There's an old Swedish prophecy about the Ruskies (the Russian teddy near) - by one Gustafson or Johansen who actually travelled all the way - I think it was from Kristianstad to the headquarters of the Swedish Foreign Ministry of Foreign Affairs at Gustav Adolf Torg to prophecy to the generals that after a particularly beautiful summer - suddenly - out of nowhere - the Ruskies will attack Mama Svea.
And, talking about Ruskies or extremism, we don't know if we still have the electricity and the current like the one passed on by that ultra Russian nationalist & male chauvinist by the name of Vladimir Zhirinovsky. He once said (with reference to Elisabeth Rehn who was then Minister of Defence of Finland) "I do not respect a country which has a woman as Minster of defence."
The folly of mis-underestimating the enemy....
All Leaders around the World feel same.
Every real enemy would just take Sweden, weak, a girl leader of Military HaHaHa.....
No, I don't think it's likely Denmark will try and recapture Scania anytime in the near future: "Hey, Jørgen, that 1679 Peace of Lund treaty is really sticking in my craw," but having a strong national defense in a neutral country is, unfortunately, a necessity. An insurance policy you probably won't need but it's vital to have, even if your only intent is to display from time to time: "See? I keep the shotgun right here, under the cash register."
Typically, belligerents don't announce they're going to attack, and world events happen in an instant. The Defense Minister's leap of logic is amazing: "…threats… what it looks like in our neighboring countries, which have about the same capacity as we do." What does that have to do with ANYTHING? "Oh, they all have about the same level of national defense; I can't decide which one to attack." It's even more stupid if you're officially NEUTRAL. Heck, by that logic Sweden (and her neighbors) should scrap national defense and just have one Soldier each, armed with an authentic Daisy Red Ryder BB Gun. There is no need to thank me, just send me a percentage of the savings on my new Swedish Defense Plan. Oh, and I'm threatening to conquer Scania with my new wonder weapons, safety googles and a pointed stick.
Sweden does have plenty of enemies within its own internal population. Spend the money there instead, where it can do some good.
The government here has displayed a nice bit of poor thinking. They look at the "now situation" and the "near situation" and see no threat, therefore no need for a defence. However, that type of thinking has been shown wrong in the pass time and time again and often increases the probability of war.
There maybe no direct threat to Sweden "now" but other Nordic countries do see threats towards them (Norway has started to increase it's defence spending, for example). There are also politically unstable countries in Europe that could see a war that could drag in Sweden (as part of the EU as Sweden runs the Nordic battle group).
The political situation can change far faster than it takes to build up an effective defence form the "non defence" position we have now. The defence minister is in serious error.
I have no children, so I need no child insurance. When I have children, I'll buy some.
I have no need for an AK47, so I haven't bought one. When I need one, I'll buy one.
Sensible people (and countries) don't buy stuff they don't need; especially expensive stuff. No reasonable scenario sees "neutral" Sweden being dragged into a sudden hot war; People who foresee the Danes or Poles invading Skåna need sedating.
Sweden can easily satisfy it's international obligations (and thus earn reciprocal NATO and EU protection) by providing logistical and medical support. Any strategic commander would welcome a fleet of Volvo trucks and a few field hospitals, two things there are never enough of when things get hot. The Swedes are dreadful at shooting things, but logistics and medicine; now that's where they shine.
Bar zombie apocalypse and alien invasion from the planet Zargon, there are absolutely no short term, medium term, or long term military threats to Sweden.
You just don't spend hundreds of billions of Crowns on shiny fighter jets and big green panzers unless you can actually think of a credible situation when you might need them to defend the realm. I can't. The Swedish military can't, the politicians can't. No sane person can. The only people who can, believe in zombie apocalypse and Zargons and buy great stocks of firearms and food which they keep in concrete bunkers buried in their gardens.
When it comes to defending the realm from invaders, Sweden's military has absolutely no role at all. They can't identify a threat and therefore have no idea what equipment to buy to counter it, or how to train with it if and deploy it if they did buy it. Do you suggest they buy it all, just in case?
You are, of course, perfectly entitled to invest your own money in firearms to see off zombies and Zargons, but to ask the hard-pressed Swedish tax payers to join you in your" planning" and "paranoia" is unreasonable.
It's not just about invasion of Sweden (and I agree, it's unlikely). It is also about Europe as a whole and about the Nordic countries. Sweden has also committed itself to defending other countries and there is a direct threat against other Nordic countries and instabilities in Europe that could, in the next 10 years of so, lead to Sweden entering a war in Europe.
As for what equipment to buy; Sweden needs to build up a defence force that can combat a modern, armoured/mechanised enemy with airborne/amphibious troops and special forces, regardless. Sweden could take Russia as an example.
Basically, we can only look at the hardware. Russia is rebuilding its forces with, hundreds of jets, 750K-1000K troops, new submarines and 2-4 new amphibious assault ships (French Mistral Class). Those latter are certainly not defensive tools. The stuff will be available to them in a few years for whatever purpose. We also know that it takes years to rebuild whatever capabilities the Swedish military has lost in recent years. No, the likelihood of a Russian invasion to gain territory is minimal at this point. But varying degrees of military pressure, from provocations to "quick assaults" like Georgia 2008(9?), from a country with an increasingly totalitarian government must be seriously considered and always prepared for. The way Russia will handle any sort of serious disagreement with Sweden will, of course, depend on how militarily well prepared Sweden is. If a foreign power chooses measure A rather than measure B because Sweden has a viable defense then the military has filled an important function simply by existing and without most of us knowing it.
People tend to forget that the military fills this important political function in times of peace simply by being there. If the Swedish government argues that "the international community must react and take action" in some crisis that is important to us, how many will listen to what we say if Sweden itself cannot contribute? And no, Sweden cannot stick to logistics or medicine and expect others to do the 'dirty work'. Nothing wrong with field hospitals (Korea 1951-53, Iraq 1991, Somalia 1992-93) but Swedish troops have also proven themselves as excellent infantrymen in places like Congo (1961-63ish, 2003), Bosnia (1992-95) and Afghanistan (2002-).
One week is simply not good enough and we can never expect help in time unless bound by treaty. General declarations in times of peace are worthless, just words!
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