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Polls: Social Democrat support falls to new lows

TT/The Local · 31 Aug 2010, 09:15

Published: 31 Aug 2010 09:15 GMT+02:00

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Carl Melin, opinion director at United Minds, said the Social Democrats have lost ground to the Green Party, the Alliance and the couch.

"It is clear that the Social Democrats have major problems and continue to lose voters," he told the newspaper.

The red-green reached a combined 44.4 percent in the poll, down 1.1 percentage points. The Alliance is up 3.5 percentage points to 48.1 percent.

In her party's defense, Social Democrat leader Mona Sahlin pointed out that there are still three weeks left before the election.

"We have a huge task ahead of us, which I think is quite feasible," she told Aftonbladet. "The difference is only about two percent that we need in order to win the right to form the government."

United Minds uses so-called online panels with pre-recruited respondents who are representative of the population as a whole in terms of gender, age and residence.

The results are also weighted according to how the participants have voted in previous elections and include opinion institutions that undertake more traditional means of random population samples.

In addition, another poll has shown the Alliance increasing its lead over the red-greens. Skop's latest measurement also revealed that the Sweden Democrats would get less than 4 percent of the vote and would not be able to enter Sweden's parliament, the Riksdag.

"The Sweden Democrats continue to balance on the Riksdag's barrier," said Skop analyst Birgitta Hultåker. "This week, they are below 4 percent and would be without a parliamentary mandate if the Skop poll were an election result."

Five percentage points are all that separates the two coalitions. The Alliance stand at 49.8 percent support, while the red-green have 44.8 percent. The Moderates are the largest party.

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All the other parliamentary parties currently in the Riksdag would also remain, according to the measurement. The Centre Party is the party that is closest to the four percent threshold, with 5.1 percent of the vote. Next are the Christian Democrats, with 5.2 percent.

The party that lost the most ground since the last measurement was the Social Democrats, falling 1.2 percentage points behind, while the Left Paty gained the most support, winning an additional 0.9 percentage points.

In the last week, the Alliance has increased its support by 1.1 percentage points, while support for the red-greens has fallen by 0.5 percentage points. All changes are within the statistical margin of error, according to Skop.

TT/The Local (news@thelocal.se)

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Your comments about this article

09:59 August 31, 2010 by Nomark
This is what happens when a party uses affirmative action to choose its leader. Working down a short-list drawn up by the tribal elders until they finally found someone of the right gender who was willing to accept the job was disrespectful to the country.
10:47 August 31, 2010 by Taxalien
Maybe Mona can go back to the profession she had before she went into politics:

Washing dishes in a restaurant. Perhaps she is now a bit rusty and don't mind a praktik jobb at 3500 kr per month.
11:18 August 31, 2010 by Mib
I don't give a flying F*** if a woman or man is leading the country. All I want is them to deliver for the whole of society and for me that is the current Government. Mona's party and cohorts are still living in the dark ages when the world was just Europe and North America. The world has moved on and considering how well Sweden coped with the current crisis compared to others, the current Government should get a pat on the back for not panicking. Furthermore, they actually have a Finance Minister that has the qualifications to back it up...rather than some suit who hasn't a true understanding and relies too much on advisors. Wish I could vote for the main Government! But...it ain't over till the Obese voter has stopped singing.
11:33 August 31, 2010 by Kevin Harris
The Social Democrat's dreadful campaign is not entirely Mona's fault, but as party leader, she has to take responsibility for it. The Moderates have spent most of their time talking about their policies. The Social Democrats have spent most of their time ignoring their own policies and attacking the Moderates; Swedes don't seem to take kindly to that sort of thing. I can understand why the Social Democrats had to do this, tax increases and pathetic ultimatums to America to close overseas bases are entirely unappealing to Swedes; better to quickly sweep those under the carpet. Promises to increase welfare without the means to pay for it, don't go down well either, especially while we watch the Greeks go bankrupt for doing just that.

Poor Mona inherited a party mired in dogma and geared to appeal to an electorate from the 1970's, not the brave new millenium. What did she do about this? She invited in the Communists. The party is becoming irrelevant, and Swedes are moving onwards and upwards and are leaving her tired old party behind them.

Somewhere deep within the Social Democratic hierarchy is a Tony Blair type character strong enough and competent enough to stand up to "yesterday's" men and women, who can drag the Social Democrats kicking and screaming back into relevance. Hurry up whoever you are, the Moderates are having it too easy.
12:51 August 31, 2010 by flintis
@ Kevin Harris: Yeah that's what Sweden & Europe need right now like carbuncle up ur jacksy, another Tony B'Liar. Really pulled the wool over the electorates eye's, the lying 2 faced neo Tory, new labour my !rse.

B'liar along with the other lying theiving jock (Brown) should be hung for treason. Kier Hardy must be turning in his grave seeing what these morons have done to the party, time to change their name to the "centre-right" party.
13:44 August 31, 2010 by Kevin Harris

You are right of course. What the Social Democrats need now is a Michael Foot type leader, followed by a Neil Kinnock type leader.

For readers unfamiliar with the British Labour Party; Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock led the party between 1980 and 1997. They oversaw the collapse of the labour vote to its lowest level since 1918, and between them lost four consecutive elections to the Conservative party. By 1997, even Labour supporters doubted whether the party would ever be fit to govern again.

Tony Blair was appointed Labour party leader in 1997 and then won three consecutive Labour victories.

Heaven forbid someone should inflict a carbuncle like that on the Social Democrats eh Flintis. Bring on the Swedish Michael Foot.
15:16 August 31, 2010 by Audrian
Flintis has a point.

Tony Blair was a dangerous demagogue like Hitler was. Considering the damage Balir's leadership has done in Iraq and Afghanistan, Brtain would have benefited from a third weak labor leader, without negative consequence. Britain's deficit, which is causing a serious social consequences, could have been wiped out over night if Blare had suspended the modernization of Brirain's small war machinary. The conservative government on power, which is for a strong military, is happy to implement the policy Blair had left behind.
15:49 August 31, 2010 by flintis
@Kevin Harris: B'Liars legacy has left the nation almost bankrupt without capital, worse than any other labour goverment since the 1960's has done.

They may have won 3 elections but were not fit to govern, B'Liar would'nt even abide by his own education laws.

Tony Blair re-elections were the result of a "spin doctor" who must be the most crooked parliamentarian of modern times, & Mandy certainly spun the wool over your eyes.

Should ask Brown how much commission he got for selling of all the gold reserves.
15:58 August 31, 2010 by RobinHood

"The conservative government on power, which is for a strong military .... "

Britain has a Conservative/Liberal coalition government, not a Conservative government.

Since the coalition was elected it has announced numerous defence cuts. Last week it announced the possible cancellation of the Red Arrows. Yesterday, it announced the dissolution of one brigade of Gurka's. Today it announced it might share an aircraft carrier with the French instead of building two new ones. It has cancelled numerous aircraft orders for the RAF, reduced defence budgets across the board, and incorporated the cost of Trident into the defence budget, instead of a stand alone item. Trident may even be cancelled.

I only did one sentence of your post as an example, but the rest is nonsense too. Don't make me trash the rest of it as well.
00:13 September 1, 2010 by Dr Love
We would witness after election. right now I do not believe in these online games.
08:39 September 1, 2010 by flintis
@RobinHood: Audrian does have a valid point "Tony Blair was a dangerous demagogue" would'nt really compare him to Adolf, but he certainly had delusions of grandeur becoming the EU's 1st Emperor.

About time the New nuclear deterrent was scrapped, never had any use for the last one, what a waste of trillions of £.
15:16 September 1, 2010 by rumcajs
"Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock led the party between 1980 and 1997. They oversaw the collapse of the labour vote to its lowest level since 1918"

....... and it was then that UK got f**d up. I don't know how old you are (I was a kid), but I think most of british persons in their 30's would agree with me that their parents lived better that us. You could aford a flat with only one salary (even a low one). Now we cannot do it. Not even with a kinda good salary. Sweden is one of the few countries left where you can still live like in those times and it hasn't been thanks to the right, but to the left.

Some people call it "brave new world" and yes it's brave like a teen, but also like a teen..... STUPID. Teens never think they can crash, fall or get punched... but how many of them haven't we seen running to mama or to the police after finding out that they're not so great? But also like teens we have bad memory and once mama has cured our injuries, we believe that we are superman again.
07:29 September 2, 2010 by flintis
@rumcajs: I'm a bit over 30 & remember well how the Labour party & the unions crippled the country in the late 60's & 70's during H Wilsons & Callaghans reigns, with power cuts & coal shortages & a near national strike, buying & closing the dockyards, did'nt help having Ted Heath as PM between the 2 Labour PM's as he inherited only debt & unrest. So why are we not suprised that every one was p'eed off by the end of Labours 5 yr reign of turmoil & along came "Maggy" the Iron Lady, she certainly showed who was boss & she was that bad she got re-elected for a total 13yrs of Tory Gov. Then came the grinning Fool.

For my money the 70' & 80's were by far the most affluent era, although coming from a mining area 1984 & 85 was not fun & afterwards seeing the depression set in, former colleagues & friends committing suicide a whole way of life & a culture disappeared. A lot blame only Maggy for that but the Unions must take at least 50% of the blame for being total morons.
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