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Opposition more popular than government: poll

TT/The Local/dl · 8 Jun 2011, 14:29

Published: 08 Jun 2011 14:29 GMT+02:00

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If Swedish parliamentary elections had been held in May, the opposition parties would have emerged victorious, according to the SCB poll, one of the most closely followed measures of Swedish voters' sympathies.

"The Social Democrats appear to have a long honeymoon," Michael Arthursson, party secretary for the Centre Party, told the TT news agency.

His party, along with the Moderates, the Christian Democrats, and the Liberals (Folkpartiet) received support from a combined 45.4 percent of voters in the poll, which asked respondents which party they would vote for if the election were held today.

Meanwhile, the three centre-left opposition parties – the Greens, the Left Party, and the Social Democrats – notched 47.4 percent.

According to SCB, the differences between the two political blocs is statistically significant.

The far-right Sweden Democrats received 5.7 percent, while 1.5 percent of voters indicating they supported other political parties.

Among the centre-left parties, the Social Democrats would have received 34 percent of the votes, the Left Party 4.5 percent, and the Green Party 8.9 percent.

"Since the party congress we've had a new start which means that we've got the winds at our back and a little more self-confidence. And we've been able to start talking about policies again," Social Democrat party secretary Carin Jämtin told TT in an attempt to explain the upswing in opinion.

According to Jämtin, the party has been able to control the political discussion regarding healthcare and employment issues in relation to child poverty.

It remains to be seen, however, if the party's increasing voter support will continue.

The Centre Party received 4.5 percent of voter support in the May poll, while the Liberals received 6.0 percent and the Moderates received 31.1 percent.

The only 3.8 percent of respondents to the poll indicated they supported the Christian Democrats, leaving the party below the 4 percent threshold required to maintain representation in the Riksdag.

The Center Party's Arthursson called the poll result "a really low figure" for his party.

He added that more or less all the parties lost voters to the Social Democrats compared to an SCB poll taken in November 2010.

The Social Democrats have seen their support increase both in comparison to the November poll and to their catastrophic election results of 30.7 percent, and according to SCB, the increase is statistically significant.

Story continues below…

The same is true for the Green Party's increase in support to 8.9 percent from their election result of 8.9 percent, as well as the decrease in support for the Left Party compared to its election results of 5.6 percent.

Among parties on the centre-right, the decreases in support compared to election results for the Centre Party (6.6 percent) and the Liberals (7.1 percent) are also statistically significant.

While the May poll results show a statistically significant drop in support for the Moderate Party compared to SCB's November poll, the figure actually represents a statistically significant increase in support compared to the party's election result of 30.1 percent.

Poll results for the Sweden Democrats constitute a statistically significant reduction in support compared to the November SCB poll, but not compared to the September election results which allowed the party to enter the Riksdag for the very first time.

TT/The Local/dl (news@thelocal.se)

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Your comments about this article

18:00 June 8, 2011 by StuartM
About time the left was ahead but they should really be on well over 50% considering how much of a mess the Alliance are making. It's absolutely vital that the three parties of the left win a majority next time so that we're not stuck with SD again holding the balance of power after the 2014 election. The Social Democrats need a bolder, more radical and more charismatic leader and the Left Party probably need to ditch Lars Ohly as well as he just doesn't seem to be connecting with the electorate.
18:47 June 8, 2011 by Syftfel
Unlikely dude. - Anything coming out of SCB is automatically suspect. For it is not possible that any decent Swede would support the pseudo-marxist vomit coming out of the mouths of these poisonous social dems, and who can accomplish nothing but marxist tinged rants like disenfranchisement, egalitarianism and worker power. This is the party that pulls out the bigotry charge at every turn and that lacks the gene for common decency. Juholt is a Honecker wannabe, and no amount of lipstick, not even from SCB, can beautify this simpering moron. What he lacks in statesmanship he has in a bold sense of entitlement, and with whom intellectual debate is not possible. His confiscatory financial policies are likely to drag Sweden down to the level of the Greeks. Swedes must strike a decisive blow and drop the hammer on the Party of palme!
18:59 June 8, 2011 by Rick Methven
steady on syfalis you will blow a blood vessel one of these days with your tirades
19:34 June 8, 2011 by Iraniboy
I think it is mainly due to the success of greens!


Time to buy a ticket back home. It will save you and your family from this evil Sweden :D
19:48 June 8, 2011 by Rick Methven

That is if he has ever even been to Sweden
20:06 June 8, 2011 by Syftfel
My three favorite socialist mental midgets: StuartM, methven and iraniboy, bloodthirsty followers of lenin and the prophet, shackled by by reflexive Party loyalty. I could not ask for more. I'm glad you enjoy some thruths. We'd all be well served though, if you placed yourselves in circular firing squad and let it go. And invite Juholt!
20:31 June 8, 2011 by Great Scott

You will make yourself ill, foaming at the mouth all the time. You sure are getting plenty of attention though, everyone is laughing at you.
20:48 June 8, 2011 by Iraniboy
@ Rick

I think I remember once he has come to Sweden to live here. Not 100% sure though.


I agree with you and your ideas overwhelmingly!! How dare these Swedes are! The majority of them voted for those whom we don't like!! We should teach them a lesson I would gladly vote for your candidate! There is only one small problem and that is that I can't vote :D
21:02 June 8, 2011 by Great Scott

I can't help thinking that you would be a great spokesperson for the conservatives, you would go down like a ton of bricks.
22:46 June 8, 2011 by Grindsprint
if those clowns get back in power I´ll move. We are finally making progress and now it seems we are at risk of losing it all again. what a waste
07:33 June 9, 2011 by farnoxo
Why do people always want to kill the goose that lays the golden egg. If "Super Mario" wins the next election, I for one will be "repatriating" (also know as capital outflows!) several million Kronor into a BVI trust fund!
08:43 June 9, 2011 by jackx123
remember that the social democrats were the ones who brought sweden into such an unbelievable mess.

before they got recognition sweden had NO debt. it was a prosperous country that came out miles ahead the rest of the world with its industry in full swing post WWII.

then they introduced a range of social welfare benefits which in essence allowed workers to stay at home with full pay (considering the tax effect at the time).

at the humble age of 78 at have seen sweden being brought down to the gutters by the social democrats. yes my late father was a vivd union supporter, and later a leader, working in a steel mill who later. as a strong believer in industrial growth, eventually gave up since he saw what was coming.

i cannot see how the mentality has changed with Julholt.

what sweden needs is a government that has a concrete action plan, like any company. what happens if the are not profitable? well they go bankrupt, just like greece. although it's impossible impossible for a government to declare itself bankrupt it will effect the ratings and thereby make it almost impossible for the industry to grow.
10:02 June 9, 2011 by McChatter
Ach, no sweat. Moaner was also popular when she became leader. New people at the MP as well (Hansel and Gretel). Always good for a boost in the polls.

Wait until Maud goes and Reinfeldt hands over to Ferderley.
11:40 June 16, 2011 by glamshek
Why is no Western Channel showing the yesterday's rally in support of Bashar Al Assad of Syria ? Strange...You can only watch it on Presstv.ir .......Its not good for BBC, CNN, SKY etc
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