SHARE
COPY LINK

ECONOMY

Swedish economy continues to grow

Sweden's economy expanded by one percent in the second quarter, while year-on-year growth slowed to 5.3 percent, data released Friday by the central statistics office (SCB) showed.

The figures beat the expectations of analysts polled by the Dow Jones Newswire who had expected growth of 0.6 percent in the quarter and 4.9 percent on an annual basis.

Household consumption expenditures rose by 2.3 percent,w hile gross fixed capital formation increased by 8.1 percent.

In addition, exports increased 7.8 percent and imports 5.8 percent.

Total employment, measured as the number of hours worked, increased 1.8 percent while the number of employed persons increased 2.5 percent.

Sweden’s new GDP growth figures are slightly higher than those expected by the Riksbank and in line with the expectations of Nordea bank, according to a statement by Nordea analyst Andreas Jonsson.

Export figures were also somewhat stronger than Nordea expected, while investment was somewhat lower.

“This speaks to our assessment that the Riksbank will continue with their austerity policies,” said Nordea.

In the first quarter of 2011, Sweden reported an annual growth rate of 6.4 percent, one of the highest in Europe.

Without taking into account seasonal variations, the year-on-year growth of the Gross Domestic Product was 4.8 percent, the statistics office said.

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.

ECONOMY

Swedish economy to grind to a halt as interest rates kick in

Sweden faces an economic slump next year that will see economic growth grind to a complete stop, Sweden's official government economics forecaster, has warned.

Swedish economy to grind to a halt as interest rates kick in

Sweden’s National Institute of Economic Research, which is tasked with tracking the business cycle for the Swedish government, warned in its quarterly forecast on Wednesday that greater than expected energy prices, interest rate rises, and stubborn inflation rates, Sweden was facing a significant downturn. 

The institute has shaved 1.6 percentage points off its forecast for growth in 2023, leaving the economy at a standstill, contracting -0.1 percent over the year. 

The institute now expects unemployment of 7.7 percent in 2023, up from a forecast of 7.5 percent given when in its last forecast in June.

“We can see that households are already starting to reign in their consumption,” said Ylva Hedén Westerdahl, the institute’s head of forecasting, saying this was happening “a little earlier than we had thought”. 

“We thought this would have happened when electricity bills went up, and interest rates went up a little more,” she continued. 

The bank expects household consumption to contract in 2023, something that she said was “quite unusual” and had not happened since Sweden’s 1990s economic crisis, apart from in the immediate aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic. 

This was partly down to a five percent reduction in real salaries in Sweden in 2022, taking into account inflation, which the institute expects to be followed by a further two percent fall in real salaries in 2023. 

If the incoming Moderate-led government goes ahead with plans to reimburse consumers for high power prices, however, this would counterbalance the impact of inflation, leaving Swedish households’ purchasing power unchanged. 

The institute said it expected inflation to average 7.7 percent this year and 4.6 percent in 2023, both higher than it had forecast earlier.

Sweden’s Riksbank central bank this month hike its key interest rate by a full percentage point, after inflation hit 9 percent in August, the biggest single hike since the 1990s. 

SHOW COMMENTS