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Government extends poll lead as election looms

Government extends poll lead as election looms

Published: 08 Aug 2010 09:30 GMT+02:00
Updated: 08 Aug 2010 09:30 GMT+02:00

The Moderate Party, Centre Party, Liberals and Christian Democrats scored a combined total of 49.3 percent in the August poll, up 0.9 percent on their tally in the last Sifo party preference survey in June.

With a total of 46 percent, the opposition Social Democrats, Left Party and Green Party continue to trail the government despite seeing their share of the projected vote increase by 0.4 points since June.

The far-right Sweden Democrats, pushing to stay above the 4 percent threshold that would give them a place in parliament, dropped 0.2 points to 4.1 percent.

The Moderates remain the largest party, with 32.6 percent of the vote, followed by the Social Democrats on 30.6 percent.

Sifo opinion poll chief Toivo Sjörén said the results showed that the Social Democrats and Mona Sahlin had “not succeeded in making a recovery during the summer”.

“It looks like they’re going to do worse than in 2006, which the Social Democrats considered a catastrophic election. Their current figure represents an unprecedented low and they’re not even the largest party anymore,” he told Stockholm daily Svenska Dagbladet.

The newspaper stressed however that none of the fluctuations in party support recorded since June could be categorized as statistically significant and should therefore be interpreted with caution.

Sifo’s poll results are based on interviews conducted with 1,194 people from August 2nd to 5th.

Sifo poll results, August 8th 2010 (changes since June 2010 in parentheses)

Government

Moderate Party 32.6 (+0.3)

Centre Party 4.7 (-0.2)

Liberal Party 6.3 (+0.2)

Christian Democrats 5.7 (+1.2)

Total: 49.3 (Election 2006: 48.2)

Opposition

Social Democrats 30.6 (no change)

Left Party 5.4 (+0.3)

Green Party 10.0 (+0.1)

Total: 46.0 (Election 2006: 46.1)

Sweden Democrats 4.1 (-0.2)

Others 0.7 (-1.0)

TT/The Local (news@thelocal.se)

Your comments about this article

12:48 August 8, 2010 by whattodo?
What do I think? Well, I am disappointed that a speculative, PR article is given front page news, while other news and discussions dealing with "controversial" facts, and injustices are immediately deleted, no matter how important they are.
16:09 August 8, 2010 by glamelixir
I am tired of the local showing its political tendency so open.

Are there real journalists behind this? Shouldn't media be neutra or at least try to?

As a communicator I am disgusted.

I think it is time for some competition, another web news for expats should appear.

STOP YOUR PROPAGANDA.

And I agree with what to do, it is amazing how some threads dissapear so fast while others stay forever... mmm.

TIRED, if you are journalists, shame on you.

And some translations pfffff... omg... pffff.

I guess that getting real journalists should be your goal instead of getting english speaking natives. Some people do not handle their own grammar, a journalist would at least care and make an effort in providing a good piece of news.
16:46 August 8, 2010 by reason
I assume the above posters glamelixir and whattodo? just have to vent their frustration over the poll results.

Where exactly in this article is the 'propaganda'? It reports on a voter poll, something many of us would find relevant with elections coming. It points out that the social democrats are doing poorly, which is a simple fact. That the party which has dominated swedish politics for decades no longer has the confidence of even a third of voters is worth reporting.
18:08 August 8, 2010 by Jan M
The voter polls before the last general election were predicting a resounding Social Democrat win and then reality spoilt the fun. On that basis hardly worth it.
21:40 August 8, 2010 by JoeSwede
Interesting poll. Can they increase the sample of the population? 1,900 seems a little low. Maybe costs are a factor...

Thank you the local for keeping up on the election. One should take the poll with a grain of salt. Right?
07:23 August 9, 2010 by glamelixir
@reason

No, it is not about frustration because of the poll results. I don't know how old you are, but Iam old enough to know that polls do not show results in election matters.

And by propaganda, I can give you a private lesson on the meaning of the word if you pay for it, but I am saying this because the local has been publishing the same "news" every week for the last 4 months...so it is an obvios agenda setting, and studies around the world have shown that media published polls influence voters towards the publish tendency as unconciously everybody "wants to be a winner". Enough free knowledge for you.

A poll does not reflect any fact, you know nothing about marketing, do you?

A poll, is just a poll, the results of something asked to a small portion of a totality called sample.
09:28 August 9, 2010 by Byggare Bob
@glamelixir & whattodo

It is no use blaming the messenger if you don't like the message. The message has been music to your presumably left-leaning ears for 3 of the past four years - all of those polls were also covered across the Swedish press, including The Local. If you want to check just search, e.g. Sifo, above - I did.

Of course one can have a broader discussion of the use, and publication of opinion polls so far from an election and many countries have limits on them. However Sweden doesn't, and the general consensus remains that they contribute a form of litmus test on the government and the alternatives and thus contribute to democracy.

I'll give you a free lesson on the meaning of democracy - it does not begin and end with a general election, at least not in Sweden. The media and other channels of communication are the means for holding an ongoing political and democratic discourse.

The Local has presumably published the same news for the last 4 months, because that it is the news - the polls have swung and that is what they are now saying. If the headline read - New poll says Alliance will win election, I could understand the "propaganda" jibe but not here.

The Local, and all other Swedish media, published the same news for the previous three and half years, because that was the news then. It seems however that it has had little long term influence on the voters, and would thus appear to contradict your marketing mumbojumbo.

Free lesson in democracy number two - Important not to patronise the electorate in a developed democracy.

@ The Local: KEEP POSTING THESE POLLS. With less than 6 weeks to go before the election they are more relevant than ever.
14:11 August 9, 2010 by Audrian
Does any one know about the quality of the survey method? How good were Sifo's forecastes in the last two elections?
13:45 August 10, 2010 by Syftfel
What do I think? I think that September 19th will be an epic battle between unbridled liberalism and Swedes. When it's all over, the treasonous Social Democrats will lie in unidentifiable pieces on the ground. Alien Mona, her bloodthirsty followers and theior confiscatory tax policies will never be heard from again. A new viking era will begin with proud Sweden victorious to stand up anew for freedom and international respect, and the blue and yellow banner flying high. Vote wisely on the 19th!
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