Alliance leads in four polls

The Social Democrats might want to start putting their CVs together. Four opinion polls show the center-right Alliance opposition bloc leading just a day away from Sunday’s election.

Still, opposition leader Moderate Party’s Fredrik Reinfeldt shouldn’t start packing his suitcase yet. The polls show that the election is still likely to be a tough race.

In Synovate Temo’s poll in Dagens Nyheter the Alliance has 49.7 percent, while the ruling Social Democrat-led bloc has 45.3 percent. The Alliance increased its lead slightly since this poll was last taken. The only statistically significant increase for an individual party was for the Sweden Democrats, which now has 2.8 percent of the vote with its anti-immigrant platform.

Some 11.1 percent of voters were still undecided in the poll, which surveyed 1,587 people from September 12-14.

Even Skop’s latest poll gives the Alliance a lead, although it is a bit thinner than in previous surveys. Skop’s, published on Saturday, asked 1,600 Swedes between 18-84 years old. Social Democrats went up 3.0 percent in this poll, cutting the lead of the Alliance to less than 1 percent.

The Alliance had 48.3 percent and the left bloc had 47.6 percent.

In Sifo’s poll, the Alliance is leading with 48.6 percent over the ruling block that has 45.9 percent. In Sifo’s poll last Friday, the three left parties had a small lead. The Moderates gained in Saturday’s poll, going up 0.9 percent compared to the last poll. The left block Green Party lost 1 percent.

The Sifo poll asked 1,932 people during September 13-14, and was published by Svenska Dagbladet, Göteborgs-Posten and Skånska Dagbladet.

Ruab’s poll, published in Dagens Industri, also gives the Alliance a lead of 2.1 percent. But the Social Democrats increased the most, going up 0.8 percent. The Christian Democrats, part of the Alliance, lost the most votes, dropping 1.1 percent. The changes are within the margin of error.

The number of undecided voters is rather high in the Ruab poll, coming in at 26.5 percent. The pollsters interviewed 2,040 people from September 6-14.