Voter support for the Moderates continued its rise in November, according to a new survey conducted by Novus Opinion and presented by TV4.
Of those interviewed 37.2 percent expressed support for Mona Sahlin’s Social Democrats. This represents the lowest figure since the 2006 election and a decline of 3.6 percentage points from October. The decline is statistically significant.
Fredrik Reinfeldt’s Moderates have the support of 25.5 percent of the electorate, according to the poll. This represents an increase of 2.7 percentage points since October.
The gap between the right and left blocs in Swedish politics has now almost halved since June. Then the difference was 17.8 percent in comparison to 9.1 percent in November.
Novus Opinion’s figures in percent (with the change on October in brackets) for all the parliamentary parties were as follows:
The Moderates 25.5 (+2.7), the Liberal (Folk) party 7.3 (+1.1), the Centre party 5.3 (-0.2), the Christian Democrats 4.3 (+-0), Social Democrats 37.2 (-3.6), Left party 6.6 (+0.5) and the Green party 7.7 (+1.3).
The Alliance parties had the support of 42.4 (+3.6) percent of voters while the tripartite opposition polled 51.5 (-1.8) percent.
The far-right Sweden Democrats polled 4.1 percent of those interviewed, sufficient to claim seats in the parliament if an election were held today.
Novus Opinion interviewed 2,000 people over the age of 18 from November 4th – 18th and asked: How would you vote if a general election were held today?