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Alliance coalition passes opposition: poll

TT/The Local · 28 May 2010, 07:22

Published: 28 May 2010 07:22 GMT+02:00

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The May poll is the first time a Synovate poll has shown the centre-right coalition ahead since the election 2006. All four government parties showed an increase on Synovate's April poll while all three opposition parties lost support over the month.

The four Alliance parties polled a total of 48.3 percent, a climb of 5.2 percentage points on April. The opposition received the backing of 46.5 percent of the electorate, a drop of 4.7 points. The 1.8 percent margin was too small to be considered statistically significant.

Fredrik Reinfeldt's Moderates lead the rally climbing to 31.8 percent, a statistically significant increase of 3 percentage points, while the Social Democrats polled 32.5 percent, a fall of 2.6 points and their worst showing in five years.

The poll displays bloc figures very close to those recorded at the 2006 general election and come after a month of instability in global stock markets and prevailing concerns that the economic recovery will be derailed as a result of the state debt crisis affecting several eurozone countries.

The month has also however seen significant media coverage of "red-green" policy initiatives as the coalition presents its alternative to the Alliance before the September election campaign gathers pace in the late summer.

"The red-green policies have been clarified. This has led to a mobilization among middle-class voters behind their parties, and a demobilization among the red-green parties' voters," said Synovate public opinion analyst Nicklas Källebring to the Dagens Nyheter daily which commissioned the poll.

The Liberal Party (Folkpartiet) polled 7.2 (5.9), the Centre Party 4.7 (4.6), and the Christian Democrats 4.6 (3.8). The Green Party dropped to 8.8 (10.6), while the Left Party fell to 5.2 percent (5.6).

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The Alliance parties have been shown to lead the polls on only one other occasion during the mandate period - in April 2009 in a poll by Demoskop. The poll then also indicated that it on the Moderate Party that the government's chances of election success reside.

Synovate interviewed 2,690 people in the May poll and asked the question: "Which party would you vote for if an election were held today."

TT/The Local (news@thelocal.se)

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Your comments about this article

09:10 May 28, 2010 by Tall swede
My faith in Sweden is restored. No one can win an election if all they want to do is raise taxes. Not even in Sweden!
09:31 May 28, 2010 by Kevin Harris
The more the red/greens talk about their policies (six hour working days for all, tax rises, USA to close all its foreign militiary bases, etc) the more their support drains away.

The red/greens must adopt a new election strategy. Do not publish a manifesto, someone might read it. Say nothing at all, and hope voters don't notice their policies until after the election.
09:56 May 28, 2010 by miss79
the scandinavian GREECE ..lol
10:43 May 28, 2010 by jacobncsu
It's funny - whenever a poll comes out saying that the left is winning, all the commenters decry it as lies and propaganda from the left. But a poll comes out showing a tiny bit of support for the right, it's a sign of better days for Sweden. Shameful.
11:01 May 28, 2010 by Rick Methven
People always read into anything just what they want to see
11:05 May 28, 2010 by voiceofreason
This is not news, can't thelocal find something worthy to publish.

Polls often times don't win elections, atleast not when the pointy difference is less than 10%
11:10 May 28, 2010 by Kevin Harris

"whenever a poll comes out saying that the left is winning, all the commenters decry it as lies and propaganda from the left"

Can you tell us where ALL "the commenters decry it as lies ...."

It would be shameful if you can't.
09:09 May 29, 2010 by rymagnusson

It's called "confirmation bias". The American Fox News Network is a living example of it. Someone recently showed me some statistics that people who watch that network overwhelmingly still believe Iraq had ties to Bin Laden, despite evidence to the contrary. The station that had the least amount of misconceptions in its audience was NPR, which is something similar to the US version of the BBC or SR.
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